Will Bears Win One for Lovie?

Initial disclaimer here-it is actually quite possible that should the Bears lose to Green Bay for the ninth time in the last eleven meetings then fail to make the playoffs as I predict, it is quite possible that the organization may still bring Lovie Smith back as head coach. So I’m not claiming to predict that if the Bears lose once again to the Packers, Lovie will be gone, because everything in this organization’s history tells you that they may stick with Lovie because he’s a “wonderful man” and his temperament represents the McCaskeys perfectly.

But I would like to think (and/or hope) that if the Bears do once again prove they are too incompetent to beat their arch-rivals more than once every five years, and they do not have success in the playoffs, that there is a real chance that Smith will be fired.

I should hope that Smith’s only chance to come back for at least another year is if he shows his team can beat Green Bay in this huge of a game, and he has some success in the playoffs (getting past the first round).

But as Dan McNeil writes today, Smith’s future is anyone’s guess.

As far as Smith’s coaching career goes anyway, it’s hard to argue that this game isn’t the most important game of his career. Yes, one could make the argument that a loss would be caused by lack of talent outside of Smith’s control, or the recent spate of injuries. But I also consider several questionable coaching decisions over the last several weeks (non-conversion on fourth-and-one, pass play on third-and-one resulting in seven points for the opposition) as evidence that Smith and his staff are at least equally culpable.

I believe a caller spurred discussion earlier this week on the Boers and Bernstein show that really caused me to think. (I can’t remember if it was the caller or Bernstein that made these statements). The point was, we have all seen the Bears looking confused and befuddled on offense not only (but primarily) this season. “How many times have we seen Devin Hester line up wrong or drop a pass….how many times have we seen Jay Cutler scowl at another player because due to a mental mistake such as running the wrong route, the Bears faltered,” Bernstein said.

If Smith and his staff can’t motivate and teach their players to line up right, run the proper routes, get plays in on time, and learn not to drop CRITICAL passes, then blame can be placed nowhere else but on them. When Kellen Davis and Devin Hester are continually on the starting unit when practically all they have done all season is make mistakes and drop passes, tell me one can blame that one anyone else but the staff? I don’t think so.

I like the fact that Brandon Marshall has come out firing on the Packers-and I’m sure he knows he’s very likely to have to eat those words. But he may feel as I do, when his team has had a 36% winning percentage against this opponent, might as well pull out all the stops because it can’t get much worse than it already is.

I just went through the record since 1994 again. As of today including the playoff game, since 1994 the Bears have a 10-28 record against Green Bay. I also pulled out my trusty 1988 Bears Media Guide, and following that season the all-time record between the teams was 78-55 in favor of the Bears, which was a 23-game lead. After the last 19 seasons of carnage, the Bears’ lead is down to seven games (94-87).

Look, I would absolutely love to see the Bears win Sunday, I’m hoping for it, I’m pulling for them to make the playoffs, even if a first-round win means a one-year contract extension for Smith. But unfortunately there is nothing that tells me they will beat the Packers for the first time since September 2010.

Seems to me this is the most beatable Packers team since then-so I would LOVE to think that they could win. But history tells me not to be hopeful.

I’ll leave everyone with this, since I’m on record predicting the Bears will lose to Detroit and miss the playoffs. Should this happen, the Bears will be the first NFL team since the playoff format changed in 1990 to start 7-1 and miss the playoffs. I hope this does not happen, but am afraid that it will.

Actually no, my last words are that it really sucks to walk out of Soldier Field being taunted by Packer fans after yet another Bears loss.

4 Responses to “Will Bears Win One for Lovie?”

  1. Actually Roy, there was a season that Norv Turner’s Skins went 7-1 and finished the season 8-7-1. But, not that it makes it any better.

    I wouldn’t take the Chicago media seriously and make your own opinion on what is going to happen. Remember, the great minds in the media told us that Tim Russkel was going to be the next GM. A dope like Terry Boers assured us Lovie Smith and the Bears were working on a contract extension earlier in the season. And of course, then there is McNeil, who has been suspended numerous times because he can’t control his anger management blowhard self. And, my personal favorite, the north shore snob himself Danny Bernstein. He’s the smartest person in the world. Just ask him. I said all season it was my opinion Lovie Smith needed to win a playoff game to keep his job, and that won’t change. The family loved Jaruon too. He was even a nicer guy, but they let Angelo fire him.

    And yes, this is by far the least dominating and most beatable Packers team in the past few years. Yet, unless the Bears can start scoring more points, they still aren’t going to win. IT’s the reality. Plus, Cutler’s performances against the Packers don’t excite me (eventhough his numbers at home aren’t too horrible compared to at GB).

  2. I think I’ve heard enough about “the McCaskey Way”. Sure, Mulligan pointed out the other day the ridiculously methodical process by which the Bears always proceed making any move.
    But the argument that just because the market may be flooded with HC openings and that Lovie is the “right fit” for the McCaskey’s is a ridiculous argument.
    Stop the defeatist attitudes already, it’s getting to be really pathetic in this town. Emery needs to find the best fit for the organization to win, period, and Lovie is NOT that.

    If the McCaskey’s really cared about winning, then they would step aside when decisions like this need to be made, but if Lovie comes back it will be clear yet again they DO NOT care about winning or give a crap about their season ticket holders. This isn’t about kissing the McCaskey’s a%$&s and pleasing them, it’s about winning and getting in the playoffs consistently.

    I’ve also heard many people say if he wins Sunday and they find a way in, Lovie is safe. OK, by that line of thinking then, if he loses and they don’t get in, he must be gone, that’s it. All trends point in this direction – poor record last 3-4 years vs. Packers, bad December records, minimal at best playoff success. And enough about injury excuses going into this game. As I’ve pointed out many times, the Packers have been dealing with them just fine (and winning) for years and they and their fans don’t whine about them, they just win.
    Also tired about hearing about first time coaches and their supposed lack of success. Chucky and Cowher aren’t always the answer to everything and where every HC conversation should start and end, but it happens every time Lovie’s a$% is on the hot seat. Here are several first time head coaches with well-established track records already:
    Mike McCarthy, Mike Tomlin, Jim Harbaugh, John Harbaugh, Andy Reid. What about Reid as a candidate? His time in Philly looks to be done. Forget about the current mess he’s in, his overall body of work blows Lovie’s away and he’s a great offensive minded coach.

  3. We can’t afford to lose this game. If we lose, that’s 2-8 against GB in the last 10. Will be time to begin the coaching search if that happens.

  4. Personally I still hope Lovie will be a success with the Bears. He made the Bears respectable after the horror shows of the late 90′s and early noughties so nothing would bring me greater pleasure than seeing us beat the Pack on Sunday and then going on to have a good run in the playoffs.

    Recent history though suggests that wont happen and should the Pack beat the Bears on Sunday then Emery has some massive massive decisions to make. On one hand he has a great but rapidly ageing defence and on the other a completely mediocre offence that whilst needing major surgery to its offensive line has a great QB and WR coupled with two good RB’s. A couple of smart moves on the offence could really make the difference between Wild Card hopefuls to Superbowl contenders with the curren set-up.

    Plus as much as I love the Bears D it will sadly require some attention in the coming years and Emery needs to decide weather to stick with Lovie and concentrate on making the O-line decent now – giving the current players like Urlacher, Peppers and Briggs one last shot at glory or whether he gets rid of Smith and his coaches and starts the rebuilding.

    If Lovie does go then personally I’d rather see a coach appointed who has a proven track record rather than give it to a ‘rookie’ head coach.

    Either way I hope all you Bears fans lucky enough to be going to the game will see a Bears win on Sunday. The game is on live in England and I’ll be supporting you’s all the way. Give the Pack fans some stick from me if we win.

    Go Bears

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